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Your wallet
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Savings rate at nearly 4-yr low
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You're spending more. You're saving less. The data drops today.
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June retail sales data drops at 8:30 a.m. today, and the early read says Americans kept spending — up 9.4% from a year ago. World Cup watch parties and Amazon Prime Day both gave the numbers a boost. But the personal savings rate hit a nearly four-year low, and inflation outpaced wage growth for the second straight month. That means the spending isn't coming from extra income — it's coming from the cushion. Retailers are already frontloading inventory ahead of the July 24 tariff deadline, so prices on what you're buying aren't coming down.
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The other side: Health care and personal care spending led the gains, suggesting consumers are prioritizing needs over splurges.
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2
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Travel
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Nearly 100M under air quality alerts
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Wildfire smoke just landed on 9 states — keep the windows shut
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Canadian and Minnesota wildfires are pushing thick smoke across the Midwest and Northeast, and Thursday is the worst day so far. Air quality alerts stretch from Minnesota to New York City, covering nearly 100 million people. Parts of Michigan are hitting “hazardous” AQI levels, and the haze is expected to reach Washington, D.C. by midday. If you have asthma, heart disease, or young kids, skip the outdoor plans.
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The other side: Smoke events like this typically clear in 48 to 72 hours, and Thursday may be the peak before winds push the plume north.
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3
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Markets
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$960/yr per household
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The tariff swap is taking shape — and it looks worse
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The 10% blanket import tariff expires July 24, but the replacement looks worse. USTR closed its comment period on new Section 301 duties earlier this month, with 12.5% rates proposed on goods from 46 countries including China, Vietnam, India, Japan, and South Korea. Beef is already up 14%, coffee up 20%, and tomatoes up 40% from a year ago — and the new rates won't help. The Tax Policy Center estimates tariffs will cost the average household $960 in 2026.
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The other side: Agricultural products, aviation parts, and some textiles are exempt under the new proposals, which may soften the blow for certain categories.
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